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case with most of these things upon most occasions�察�and would

have been the case with all of them upon all occasions�察�if

particular accidents had not upon some occasions increased the

supply of some of them in a still greater proportion than the

demand。

     The value of a free´stone quarry�察�for example�察�will

necessarily increase with the increasing improvement and

population of the country round about it�察�especially if it should

be the only one in the neighbourhood。 But the value of a silver

mine�察�even though there should not be another within a thousand

miles of it�察�will not necessarily increase with the improvement

of the country in which it is situated。 The market for the

produce of a freestone quarry can seldom extend more than a few

miles round about it�察�and the demand must generally be in

proportion to the improvement and population of that small

district。 But the market for the produce of a silver mine may

extend over the whole known world。 Unless the world in general��

therefore�察�be advancing in improvement and population�察�the demand

for silver might not be at all increased by the improvement even

of a large country in the neighbourhood of the mine。 Even though

the world in general were improving�察�yet if�察�in the course of its

improvement�察�new mines should be discovered�察�much more fertile

than any which had been known before�察�though the demand for

silver would necessarily increase�察�yet the supply might increase

in so much a greater proportion that the real price of that metal

might gradually fall�察�that is�察�any given quantity�察�a pound weight

of it�察�for example�察�might gradually purchase or command a smaller

and a smaller quantity of labour�察�or exchange for a smaller and a

smaller quantity of corn�察�the principal part of the subsistence

of the labourer。

     The great market for silver is the commercial and civilised

part of the world。

     If by the general progress of improvement the demand of this

market should increase�察�while at the same time the supply did not

increase in the same proportion�察�the value of silver would

gradually rise in proportion to that of corn。 Any given quantity

of silver would exchange for a greater and a greater quantity of

corn�察�or�察�in other words�察�the average money price of corn would

gradually become cheaper and cheaper。

     If�察�on the contrary�察�the supply by some accident should

increase for many years together in a greater proportion than the

demand�察�that metal would gradually become cheaper and cheaper��

or�察�in other words�察�the average money price of corn would�察�in

spite of all improvements�察�gradually become dearer and dearer。

     But if�察�on the other hand�察�the supply of the metal should

increase nearly in the same proportion as the demand�察�it would

continue to purchase or exchange for nearly the same quantity of

corn�察�and the average money price of corn would�察�in spite of all

improvements�察�continue very nearly the same。

     These three seem to exhaust all the possible combinations of

events which can happen in the progress of improvement�察�and

during the course of the four centuries preceding the present�察�if

we may judge by what has happened both in France and Great

Britain�察�each of those three different combinations seem to have

taken place in the European market�察�and nearly in the same order��

too�察�in which I have here set them down。  

     DIGRESSIONS CONCERNING THE VARIATIONS IN THE VALUE OF SILVER

          DURING THE COURSE OF THE FOUR LAST CENTURIES 

                         FIRST PERIOD 

     In 1350�察�and for some time before�察�the average price of the

quarter of wheat in England seems not to have been estimated

lower than four ounces of silver�察�Tower weight�察�equal to about

twenty shillings of our present money。 From this price it seems

to have fallen gradually to two ounces of silver�察�equal to about

ten shillings of our present money�察�the price at which we find it

estimated in the beginning of the sixteenth century�察�and at which

it seems to have continued to be estimated till about 1570。

     In 1350�察�being the 25th of Edward III�察�was enacted what is

called The Statute of Labourers。 In the preamble it complains

much of the insolence of servants�察�who endeavoured to raise their

wages upon their masters。 It therefore ordains that all servants

and labourers should for the future be contented with the same

wages and liveries ��liveries in those times signified not only

clothes but provisions�� which they had been accustomed to receive

in the 20th year of the king�察�and the four preceding years�察�that

upon this account their livery wheat should nowhere be estimated

higher than tenpence a bushel�察�and that it should always be in

the option of the master to deliver them either the wheat or the

money。 Tenpence a bushel�察�therefore�察�had�察�in the 25th of Edward

III�察�been reckoned a very moderate price of wheat�察�since it

required a particular statute to oblige servants to accept of it

in exchange for their usual livery of provisions�察�and it had been

reckoned a reasonable price ten years before that�察�or in the 16th

year of the king�察�the term to which the statute refers。 But in

the 16th year of Edward III�察�tenpence contained about half an

ounce of silver�察�Tower weight�察�and was nearly equal to

half´a´crown of our present money。 Four ounces of silver�察�Tower

weight�察�therefore�察�equal to six shillings and eightpence of the

money of those times�察�and to near twenty shillings of that of the

present�察�must have been reckoned a moderate price for the quarter

of eight bushels。

     This statute is surely a better evidence of what was

reckoned in those times a moderate price of grain than the prices

of some particular years which have generally been recorded by

historians and other writers on account of their extraordinary

dearness or cheapness�察�and from which�察�therefore�察�it is difficult

to form any judgment concerning what may have been the ordinary

price。 There are�察�besides�察�other reasons for believing that in

the beginning of the fourteenth century�察�and for some time

before�察�the common price of wheat was not less than four ounces

of silver the quarter�察�and that of other grain in proportion。

     In 1309�察�Ralph de Born�察�prior of St。 Augustine's��

Canterbury�察�gave a feast upon his installation´day�察�of which

William Thorn has preserved not only the bill of fare but the

prices of many particulars。 In that feast were consumed�察�first��

fifty´three quarters of wheat�察�which cost nineteen pounds�察�or

seven shillings and twopence a quarter�察�equal to about

one´and´twenty shillings and sixpence of our present money��

secondly�察�fifty´eight quarters of malt�察�which cost seventeen

pounds ten shillings�察�or six shillings a quarter�察�equal to about

eighteen shillings of our present money�察�thirdly�察�twenty quarters

of oats�察�which cost four pounds�察�or four shillings a quarter��

equal to about twelve shillings of our present money。 The prices

of malt and oats seem here to be higher than their ordinary

proportion to the price of wheat。

     These prices are not recorded on account of their

extraordinary dearness or cheapness�察�but are mentioned

accidentally as the prices actually paid for large quantities of

grain consumed at a feast which was famous for its magnificence。

     In 1262�察�being the 51st of Henry M�察�was revived an ancient

statute called The Assize of Bread and Ale�察�which the king says

in the preamble had been made in the times of his progenitors��

sometime kings of England。 It is probably�察�therefore�察�as old at

least as the time of his grandfather Henry H�察�and may have been

as old as the Conquest。 It regulates the price of bread according

as the prices of wheat may happen to be�察�from one shilling to

twenty shillings the quarter of the money of those times。 But

statutes of this kind are generally presumed to provide with

equal care for all deviations from the middle price�察�for those

below it as well as for those above it。 Ten shillings�察�therefore��

containin

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